Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.954821 51.670490 58.661290 66.450108 74.854670 83.621248 93.427462
2024-10-20 34.150423 43.448697 53.705214 65.725338 79.298553 94.033072 111.121051
2024-10-27 27.000052 37.355541 49.318604 63.883100 80.873543 99.829646 122.343961
2024-11-03 24.020286 35.531714 49.315944 66.579134 87.192502 110.631999 138.923980
2024-11-10 21.241792 33.515059 48.716491 68.249673 92.057452 119.575838 153.246467
2024-11-17 17.835936 30.256579 46.220870 67.298382 93.536059 124.365539 162.597740
2024-11-24 14.988856 27.384196 43.914792 66.315615 94.754784 128.676230 171.253286
2024-12-01 12.995743 25.453614 42.637533 66.464758 97.231207 134.396107 181.514306
2024-12-08 11.306002 23.754983 41.506192 66.664321 99.664930 139.992965 191.586471
2024-12-15 9.983781 22.451358 40.794676 67.317213 102.601486 146.162656 202.333878
2024-12-22 8.413212 20.545154 39.067251 66.467700 103.499337 149.734819 209.869109
2024-12-29 7.561620 19.728485 38.848559 67.627778 106.980878 156.520986 221.355830
2025-01-05 6.810139 19.012096 38.748827 68.960752 110.737950 163.740422 233.512610
2025-01-12 5.689633 17.456835 37.249391 68.224402 111.679035 167.357994 241.194692
2025-01-19 4.505604 15.558668 35.046916 66.337748 110.958338 168.765783 246.049808
2025-01-26 4.293337 15.624153 36.011237 69.097634 116.595986 178.407820 261.315770
2025-02-02 3.923716 15.291539 36.281894 70.807172 120.784105 186.180250 274.246783
2025-02-09 3.188707 13.990865 34.819848 69.833712 121.193840 188.986682 280.854358
2025-02-16 2.554786 12.771974 33.391996 68.827915 121.495348 191.608568 287.200565
2025-02-23 2.146611 12.027155 32.742040 68.980561 123.404998 196.342218 296.255792
2025-03-02 1.796316 11.346030 32.150705 69.184807 125.363719 201.131643 305.387821
2025-03-09 1.534147 10.851386 31.867065 69.852982 127.977413 206.797383 315.667428
2025-03-16 1.179393 9.923654 30.669643 68.983572 128.317532 209.380530 321.931502